Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 876.965662 993.745787 1124.661905 1283.138675 1470.900364 1687.643026 1958.774364
2025-04-13 674.251386 819.330668 997.317369 1234.934912 1548.773079 1956.258116 2537.515605
2025-04-20 598.277798 761.423671 974.100725 1278.075699 1712.358002 2328.420217 3303.241350
2025-04-27 536.172836 706.965169 940.331229 1292.451552 1828.843732 2648.727144 4069.600748
2025-05-04 488.848635 663.825583 912.548726 1305.700089 1939.292446 2975.235184 4929.883348
2025-05-11 449.679281 626.203591 885.829444 1313.312210 2037.896492 3298.257614 5876.332168
2025-05-18 426.433139 608.465433 885.241740 1359.776111 2206.199510 3775.908257 7276.484392
2025-05-25 403.421314 588.072048 877.214113 1391.308601 2352.145042 4244.388745 8833.033692
2025-06-01 379.226548 563.072148 858.389674 1400.510742 2456.912424 4654.721618 10422.476111
2025-06-08 356.301772 537.752595 835.941371 1399.381339 2540.224221 5038.953848 12116.383968
2025-06-15 341.273957 523.851652 831.088624 1429.551925 2691.960691 5616.416425 14642.445483
2025-06-22 316.090728 490.755552 789.434961 1383.466427 2672.623122 5779.670311 15986.907763
2025-06-29 293.017834 460.118238 750.482352 1340.209811 2657.569701 5965.247530 17574.741197
2025-07-06 271.079499 429.962368 710.011851 1289.574771 2618.567270 6083.355207 19026.270439
2025-07-13 263.986565 425.243749 715.828591 1335.128855 2815.392337 6916.145396 23911.685620
2025-07-20 253.676779 413.895888 707.957983 1350.323174 2940.941455 7586.517548 28735.995953
2025-07-27 244.090515 403.099334 700.072251 1364.326337 3066.597674 8305.571470 34574.232523
2025-08-03 234.627133 391.811732 690.152411 1372.373081 3178.385143 9024.507144 41310.633400
2025-08-10 230.046824 389.317366 697.537410 1421.504589 3416.145879 10295.994407 53424.685675
2025-08-17 224.147821 383.843251 698.272072 1454.861679 3616.815893 11529.357122 67691.472898
2025-08-24 216.478351 374.390116 689.850916 1464.598431 3748.806510 12554.581690 82592.102723
2025-08-31 208.401654 363.604136 677.696368 1463.403362 3846.843548 13488.704538 99104.117224
2025-09-07 203.562439 358.932350 678.316807 1495.333058 4062.143963 15093.516246 128342.480460